[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Nov 04 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Nov 04 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity reached low levels as Region 2781 (S25E61, Ehi/beta) produced a couple of C1 flares, and several B-level enhancements during the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels on 04-06 Nov, with C-class flares likely all three days.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels, and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be normal to moderate on 04-06 Nov, and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters continued at ambient, background levels. Total field strength averaged near 4 nT, while the Bz component was benign. Solar wind speeds were below 350 km/s, and the phi angle was solidly in a positive orientation.

Forecast: A slow solar wind regime is anticipated to continue through 05 Nov. A weak enhancement from a negative polarity CH HSS is expected on 06 Nov.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: Geomagnetic activity was quiet.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain primarily quiet on 04-05 Nov. Isolated unsettled periods are expected on 06 Nov due to weak CH HSS influences.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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