[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2021 Oct 06 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2021 Oct 06 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low with two sunspot groups. Region 2880 (N31W40, Cao/beta) decayed further and was mainly inactive. Region 2882 (N17E45, Hsx/alpha) changed little and remained stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Very low solar activity is expected 06-08 Oct, with a slight chance for C-class flares 06-08 Oct.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels 06-08 Oct and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters indicated an elevated density and a total IMF strength ranging from 3-10 nT. The Bz component was intermittently southward directed. Solar wind speed ranged mainly from 285-325 km/s and the phi angle switched regularly.

Forecast: Isolated negative polarity CH HSS influences are anticipated 06-08 Oct.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet

Forecast: Quiet to unsettled conditions expected 06-08 Oct from embedded features in the solar wind disturbances.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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