[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2022 Aug 04 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2022 Aug 04 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was low. Region 3068 (S15W30, Esi/beta-gamma) was the source of a C6.9 flare at 03/1708 UTC. An associated weak Type II radio emission was observed with an estimated velocity of 163 km/s. Region 3071 (S19E58, Hsx/alpha) was inactive. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low, with a chance for C-class flares and a slight chance for M-class flares on 04-06 Aug, mainly due to the flare potential of Region 3068.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux maintained background values.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is likely to reach moderate to high levels on 04-06 Aug due to CH HSS influences.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were indicative of waning CH HSS influences. Solar wind speeds steadily decreased through the period from 550-450 km/s. Total field and Bz were at benign values. Phi remained negative.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to be at near background levels through 06 Aug.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected be mostly quiet with isolated unsettled periods through 06 Aug.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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