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Subject: [Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2023 Jan 07 1230 UTC
From: nw7us@sunspotwatch.com
Reply-to: Practical radio-wave propagation and space weather <propagation@contesting.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Jan 2023 20:07:09 +0000
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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2023 Jan 07 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity reached moderate levels this period due to an M1/Sf flare from Region 3182 (S16E53, Eki/beta-gamma) at 07/0052 UTC. C-class flare activity was observed from Regions 3181 (S20W01, Dki/beta), 3182, and 3183 (S17W29, Dso/beta). Moderate growth was noted in Regions 3182 and 3183, while the remaining regions were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in available data.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low, with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for X-class flares, over 07-09 Jan.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be normal to moderate over 07-09 Jan. There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton flux to reach minor storm levels over 07-09 Jan.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: The solar wind environment was slightly enhanced under persistent negative polarity CH HSS influence. Total magnetic field strength ranged from 5-11 nT and Bz ranged between +9/-7 nT. Solar wind speeds ranged between 420-520 km/s.

Forecast: Slightly elevated solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 07-09 Jan due to continued negative polarity CH HSS influences.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled this period under persistent negative polarity CH HSS influences.

Forecast: Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to prevail over 07-09 Jan due to negative polarity CH HSS influences.

Don't forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/

Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/

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Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion - 2023 Jan 07 20:07 UTC

Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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