[CQ-Contest] Fishy spots followed

Tonno Vahk tonno.vahk at mail.ee
Fri Apr 11 13:16:39 EDT 2003


If the probability of a certain spot being submitted from Summit (with @
sign) is 44% then the probability of 28 randomly selected independent spots
all being with @ sign is 0.44 in the power of 28. That is 0.0000000104%

----- Original Message -----
From: "Lyndon Nerenberg" <lyndon at orthanc.ab.ca>
To: "Tonno Vahk" <tonno.vahk at mail.ee>
Cc: <cq-contest at contesting.com>
Sent: Thursday, April 10, 2003 11:05 PM
Subject: Re: [CQ-Contest] Fishy spots followed

> >All 28 spots are with @ sign! - As I am a lot into math and statistics in
> >job, I like probablities, this probability is 0.000000000104!
> >All but one have no decimal places in frequency! Spots following each
> >on the band are usually exactly on same frequency. This probability is
> >around 1.5%
> Can you show how you derived these two probability values?
> --lyndon

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