[CQ-Contest] Update - Propagation today, tomorrow, and the nextday...

[W1NET]

the signal strength would not matter.  just the fact a contact was made
would be enough and if there was sufficient sample size.  That would make an
interest chart.  In fact you could mod the contest checking software to
create a data base with all the entered contest logs.  As LOTW gets more
filled you could do longer term looks at propagation.

With that you could look at how progation worked based on a selected datum.
Do it over time.  Propagation.  Could also see how the predicted propagation
performed. Guess the weakness would be on what antennas were used.  But
still sounds interesting.

Kind of like Monday morning quarterbacking!

John W1NET

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Eric Scace K3NA" <eric at k3na.org>
To: <nw7us at hfradio.org>; "CQ_Contesting" <CQ-Contest at contesting.com>;
"Hard-Core-DX" <hard-core-dx at hard-core-dx.com>
Sent: Monday, October 27, 2003 18:33
Subject: RE: [CQ-Contest] Update - Propagation today, tomorrow, and the
nextday...


>    I wonder if researchers could get access to the LOTW, in addition to
contest weekend logs, to get a full picture of what
> communications were possible during a particular time.
>
>    Unfortunately, it's only a partial answer, since most people don't
record accurate signal strength or station configurations
> against each QSO.
>
> -- Eric K3NA
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: cq-contest-bounces at contesting.com
> [mailto:cq-contest-bounces at contesting.com]On Behalf Of Tomas (NW7US)
> Sent: 2003 October 24 Friday 14:26
> To: CQ_Contesting; Hard-Core-DX
> Subject: [CQ-Contest] Update - Propagation today, tomorrow, and the
> nextday...
>
> [...snip...]
>
> And, as Bill and I agreed, it is hard to assess because we don't have
enough
> data to create a working model, yet, we cannot for certain say who will
have a
> great weekend, and who will have a lousy weekend.  Conflicting reports
tend to
> come in after such a chaotic event.  Some find that these conditions don't
> degrade THEIR working conditions, while others report a complete loss of
signal.
> And, there's no real pattern.  I find that has held true in the past
contests
> when conditions were rough.  Some said that they had record-breaking
results,
> even so.  Others said that they decided that it was a waste of their
contesting
> energy.  So, go figure.
>
> One thing I came away with from this discussion with Bill is that we
amateur's
> really need to become more scientific in our data collection process.  We
need
> to record more information about our working conditions, our QSO's, and
the
> other details that, when gathered together into a database, would allow us
to
> begin to unlock the secrets of propagation, such that we can begin to
forecast
> better how these events will affect us.
>
> [...snip...]
>
>
> ---------------------------------------------------------------
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