[CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum?

[donovanf at starpower.net]

Hi Randy, 

I'm very suspicious of this NOAA forecast. It forecasts that solar flux 
will to drop below 60 (58.9 in the associated table); however, t he lowest 
value ever recorded was 64.4 in the summer of 1954 when Earth is at 
its greatest distance from the Sun. An expert will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn't happen today... 

73 
Frank 
W3LPL 
----- Original Message -----

From: "Randy Thompson K5ZD" <k5zd at charter.net> 
To: "cq-contest" <cq-contest at contesting.com> 
Sent: Saturday, December 8, 2018 4:09:16 PM 
Subject: Re: [CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum? 

Ugh. At least with these predictions, there is nowhere to go but up! 

> -----Original Message----- 
> From: CQ-Contest <cq-contest-bounces at contesting.com> On Behalf Of 
> donovanf at starpower.net 
> Sent: Saturday, December 08, 2018 12:50 AM 
> To: cq-contest <cq-contest at contesting.com> 
> Subject: [CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum? 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> NOAA updated its predictions for smoothed sunspot numbers and solar flux 
> through the end of 2022. As of last month, their predictions ended in 
> 2019. 
> Their prediction shows a smoothed sunspot number of 10 for December 2018, 
> declining to 2 in July 2020 through January 2021, then 1 during February 
> 2021 through January 2022, and 0 after that and through at least the end 
> of 2022. 
> www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression 
> I hate predictions, especially about the future... 
> 73 
> Frank 
> W3LPL 
> 
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