[CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum?

Mike/W5JR w5jr.lists at att.net
Sat Dec 8 16:02:58 EST 2018


Another perspective. I don’t know the person, nor agree or disagree with his position on the solar cycle relationship to climate. But really interesting read to spur more reading. 

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/11/24/solar-cycle-update-for-november-2018-warmth-sticking-around-or-cooling-ahead/

tnx
Mike / W5JR

> On Dec 8, 2018, at 11:25 AM, donovanf at starpower.net wrote:
> 
> Hi Randy, 
> 
> I'm very suspicious of this NOAA forecast. It forecasts that solar flux 
> will to drop below 60 (58.9 in the associated table); however, t he lowest 
> value ever recorded was 64.4 in the summer of 1954 when Earth is at 
> its greatest distance from the Sun. An expert will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn't happen today... 
> 
> 73 
> Frank 
> W3LPL 
> ----- Original Message -----
> 
> From: "Randy Thompson K5ZD" <k5zd at charter.net> 
> To: "cq-contest" <cq-contest at contesting.com> 
> Sent: Saturday, December 8, 2018 4:09:16 PM 
> Subject: Re: [CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum? 
> 
> Ugh. At least with these predictions, there is nowhere to go but up! 
> 
>> -----Original Message----- 
>> From: CQ-Contest <cq-contest-bounces at contesting.com> On Behalf Of 
>> donovanf at starpower.net 
>> Sent: Saturday, December 08, 2018 12:50 AM 
>> To: cq-contest <cq-contest at contesting.com> 
>> Subject: [CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum? 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> NOAA updated its predictions for smoothed sunspot numbers and solar flux 
>> through the end of 2022. As of last month, their predictions ended in 
>> 2019. 
>> Their prediction shows a smoothed sunspot number of 10 for December 2018, 
>> declining to 2 in July 2020 through January 2021, then 1 during February 
>> 2021 through January 2022, and 0 after that and through at least the end 
>> of 2022. 
>> www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression 
>> I hate predictions, especially about the future... 
>> 73 
>> Frank 
>> W3LPL 
>> 
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