[NZ4O Spaceweather] Some Solar Cycle 24 Firsts
Thomas F. Giella NZ4O
nz4o at tampabay.rr.com
Wed Dec 16 06:42:39 PST 2009
Posted Wednesday December 16, 2009 at 1400 UTC at
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o4.htm
Sunspot group #11035 near N30W13 has grown into the largest (seven times
larger than the Earth) and most magnetically complex (beta-gamma) sunspot
group of solar cycle 24. At 0102 UTC the sunspot group released a small C5.3
solar flare, the largest solar flare of solar cycle 24. More small C class
solar flares are possible, with a chance for an isolated medium size M class
solar flare.
#11035 also produced the first partially geoeffective (Earth facing) coronal
mass ejection (CME) of solar cycle 24. The CME will arrive at Earth in a
approximately two days and could spark a geomagnetic storm and visible
aurora. Another geoeffective CME is possible, with an associated sudden
ionosphere disturbance (SID) and shortwave fadeout (SWF).
The sunspot count is 38 which is the highest of solar cycle 24. The solar
flux index is 82 which is tied for the highest SFI of solar Cycle 24.
With the increased sunspot count we should see improved propagation
conditions on 15 and 12 meters.
73, GUD DX, Merry X-mas & Happy New Year,
Thomas F. Giella, NZ4O
Lakeland, FL, USA
nz4o at arrl.net
eList Owner/Moderator
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