[TOEC] Hur blir kondsen i CQWW ?

SM5AJV sm5ajv@chello.se
Fri, 26 Oct 2001 06:33:43 +0200


Det ser ut att bli "knepiga" konds under CQWW.

Nedanstående klippt från http://dx.qsl.net/propagation/

  Three Day SFI and A-index Forecast
  (updated daily after 2200Z)

  This report issued on Oct 25, 2001 at 2200Z

    Date      SFI      A-index
    25 Oct    230  10
    26 Oct    225  20  (Senaste WWV-rapport 03Z: I=239, A=  6, K= 1, R=225
SA:hi=)lo-mo GF:qu-un=)qu-un
    27 Oct    220  30



  Solar Activity Forecast
  Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels with a chance
for an isolated high condition.
  Region 9672 and Region 9678 both have the potential of producing a major
flare. Both of these regions
  are active and magnetically complex. New Region 9682 is just rotating on
to the disc but already
  appears to be a large and potentially complex region.

  Geophysical Activity Forecast
  Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at quiet to major storm levels.
Quiet to active levels are expected
  on day one of the period.

  Analysis of the X1/3B full halo CME on 25/1502 UTC indicates that shock
arrival is expected late on day
  two or early on day three of the period. Shock arrival is expected to
produce unsettled to minor storm
  levels for day two and three of the period. Isolated major storm levels
are possible particularly at higher latitudes.

Just ovanstående ser ju lite skakigt ut. Hoppas prognosmakarna har fel och
att det blir
super-konds!!

73 de
SM5AJV (8S5A in contests)
Ingemar Fogelberg
email: mailto:sm5ajv@chello.se
www: http://hem.passagen.se/sm5ajv