[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2022 Nov 05 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

This e-mail posting is from the Radio Propagation Reflector that you're 
currently subscribed to.  Refer to the end of this e-mail for directions on how 
to change your subscription options, or to unsubscribe.
_______________________-start-_________________

Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2022 Nov 05 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was at low levels. Region 3141 (N14E70, Dao/beta) produced the largest flare of the period, a C1.6 at 04/2227 UTC. The region remained largely unchanged as it rotated further on to the visible disk. Regions 3139 (N28E32, Axx/alpha), 3137 (N37E19, Cro/beta) and 3135 (N26W35, Cso/beta) were in gradual decay. Regions 3131 (N24W83, Hsx/alpha), 3136 (S08W13, Axx/alpha), and 3140 (N26E58, Hsx/alpha) were mostly stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels, with C-flares likely on 05-07 Nov.

Energetic Particles

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 5,870 pfu observed at 04/1815 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on 05-07 Nov as CH HSS influence persists. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, reflected a gradual decrease of the influence from a positive polarity CH HSS. Total magnetic field strength was between 4-6 nT. The Bz component reached as far south as -5 nT. Solar wind speeds declined from ~550 km/s to ~500 km/s by the periods end. Phi was predominantly oriented in the positive sector.

Forecast: The solar wind environment is expected to remain enhanced on 05-07 Nov as HSS influence persists.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: Geomagnetic activity was at unsettled levels due to positive polarity HSS influences.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is likely to range from unsettled to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 05 Nov due to continued CH HSS effects. Diminishing CH influence is expected to decrease peak conditions to active on 06 Nov and unsettled over 07 Nov.

Don't forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com/

Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/

If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: + https://Twitter.com/NW7US + https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx

- - - - - - - - - - - - - Be sure to subscribe to our space weather and propagation email group, on Groups.io https://groups.io/g/propagation-and-space-weather Spread the word! - - - - - - - - - - - - - Links of interest: + Amazon space weather books: http://g.nw7us.us/fbssw-aSWSC + https://Twitter.com/NW7US + https://Twitter.com/hfradiospacewx Space Weather and Ham Radio YouTube Channel News: I am working on launching a YouTube channel overhaul, that includes series of videos about space weather, radio signal propagation, and more. Additionally, I am working on improving the educational efforts via the email, Facebook, YouTube, Tumblr, and other activities. You can help! Please consider becoming a Patron of these space weather and radio communications services, beginning with the YouTube channel: https://www.patreon.com/NW7US The YouTube channel: https://YouTube.com/NW7US ..

We're on Facebook: http://NW7US.us/swhfr

Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

_______________________________________________
Propagation mailing list
Propagation@contesting.com

To change your subscription settings, or to unsubscribe, visit:
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation