I am a bit rusty on my statistics, so I am sure I will get corrected. But,
to get it started:
First -- asssuming only 2 or 3 character suffixes, there are 26X26X27
different suffixes possible. The reason to use 27 in the last position is
that it could be a blank making it a 2 character suffix. This results in
18,252 possible suffixes.
Second -- assuming a totally random usage of these possible suffixes the
likelyhood of the same suffix being used 4 times in a row is 1 in 18,252^4.
So something like 1 in 1.11E17. Or, 1 chance in 111 quadrillion. Or, about
the same chance as a west coast station winning a dx contest. :)
Scott/K7ZO
----- Original Message -----
From: "Tom Osborne" <w7why@verizon.net>
To: "CQ-Contest" <cq-contest@contesting.com>
Sent: Wednesday, March 11, 2009 9:13 PM
Subject: Re: [CQ-Contest] arrl dx ssb spotting report
> Any body care to compute the odds of 4 different stations with the same
> suffix doing 4 spots in a row? 73
> Tom W7WHY
>
>
> 66.50.29.32 W0GHY-@ 1887 WP4U cq cq contest
> 66.50.29.32 WA7GHY-@ 1887 WP4U arrl test
> 66.50.29.32 W5GHY-@ 1887 WP4U arrl looking for westcoast st
> 66.50.29.64 W7GHY-@ 7283 WP4U arrl test
>
> _______________________________________________
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> CQ-Contest@contesting.com
> http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/cq-contest
>
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