:Issued: 2004 Oct 05 1244 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 41005
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Oct 2004, 1231UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Oct 2004 until 07 Oct 2004)
SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 097 / AP: 001
COMMENT: Solar activity increased with the re-appearence of old active region
NOAA 0672. Yesterday 4/10 it produced a C2.6 flare at 13:25 UT and today a C1.4
flare at 00:56 UT. We thus expect more flaring activity from this region.
Geomagnetic conditions turned quiet again and are expected to remain so the
following days. (Info: EIT resumed (after CCD bakeout) on 2004/10/04 @ ~00:00
UT)
SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Oct 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX : 042
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 091
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 023
AK WINGST : ///
ESTIMATED AP : 014
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net
Propagation eGroup: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com
---
Outgoing mail is certified virus free by Grisoft AVG 6.0.
Checked by AVG anti-virus system (http://www.grisoft.com).
Version: 6.0.773 / Virus Database: 520 - Release Date: 10/5/2004
_______________________________________________
Propagation mailing list
Propagation@contesting.com
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
|