:Issued: 2004 Oct 13 1221 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 41013
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 13 Oct 2004, 1210UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 13 Oct 2004 until 15 Oct 2004)
SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 034
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 091 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The minor geomagnetic storm is on-going now (Kp = 5) as an ICME
arrived to the Earth yesterday evening. It was probably produced by an eruption
close to the center of the disc starting at 05:37 UT on October 9. We expect the
geomagnetic situation to become quiet in the end of the day.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 12 Oct 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 088
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 020
AK WINGST : ///
ESTIMATED AP : 013
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA
NOTE
NONE
END
BT
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# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 #
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