[Propagation] SIDC Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

> :Issued: 2004 Dec 15 1300 UTC
> :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
> #------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
> # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
> (RWC-Belgium) #
> #------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
> SIDC URSIGRAM 41215
> SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Dec 2004, 1257UT
> SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Dec 2004 until 17 Dec 2004)
> SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
> GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
> SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
> PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 007
> PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 026
> PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 024
>
> COMMENT: We expect that the influence of a recurrent coronal hole will put 
> an
> end to the current quiet geomagnetic conditions from tomorrow onwards (Dec 
> 16).
> Active conditions (K=4) are thus expected for the following few days. A 
> new
> active region appeared on the solar East limb but is currently not 
> flaring. It
> is too soon to determine its magnetic configuration.
>
> SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Dec 2004
> SUNSPOT INDEX       : 033
> 10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 089
> AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 014
> AK WINGST           : ///
> ESTIMATED AP        : 009
>
> NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
> DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
> NOAA NOTE
> NONE
> END
> BT

73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

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