Propagation
[Top] [All Lists]

[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

To: "ABDX MF e-List" <abdx@abdx.org>,"a PropNET eGroup" <PropNET-Online@yahoogroups.com>,"a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>,"a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com>
Subject: [Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Sun, 14 Nov 2004 10:01:09 -0500
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
:Issued: 2004 Nov 14 1227 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 41114
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 14 Nov 2004, 1214UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 14 Nov 2004 until 16 Nov 2004)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Nov 2004  10CM FLUX: 098 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Nov 2004  10CM FLUX: 099 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Nov 2004  10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 007

COMMENT: Two active regions are growing: 64 (NOAA699) and 65 (NOAA700). The
latter is now listed as beta-gamma magnetic configuration, and in fact looks
like a double region, side by side. Although the activity was very low until 
now,
we predict C flares with the possibility of an isolated M flare, if the
abovementionned regions are continuing their growth. Based on EIT images, a
returning active region is about to appear at the NE limb.

The geomagnetic activity has been essentially quiet to unsettled. Although the
solar wind speed remains elevated at 480km/s, the IMF is currently weak and
oriented northwards. The geomagnetic field is thus expected to remain quiet over
the coming 3-day period.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 13 Nov 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 096
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 014
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 010

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE


73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Propagation eGroup: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
PropNET Beacon Program: http://www.propnet.org
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Frequency Radio Propagation Theory Notes: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




---
Outgoing mail is certified virus free by Grisoft AVG 6.0.
Checked by AVG anti-virus system (http://www.grisoft.com).
Version: 6.0.788 / Virus Database: 533 - Release Date: 11/1/2004
_______________________________________________
Propagation mailing list
Propagation@contesting.com
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation

<Prev in Thread] Current Thread [Next in Thread>