With the Sun temporarily virtually spotless again we will see daily solar flux
values fall below 90. The end result will be lower MUF's and little in the way
of F2 layer propagation on 10 & 12 meters. However I see openings virtually
every day on 10 & 12 meters via sporadic E (Es).
73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net
Propagation eGroup: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
PropNET Beacon Program: http://www.propnet.org
HCDX Propagation Channel:
http://www.hard-core-dx.com/index.php?topic=Propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
:Issued: 2004 Dec 08 1237 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 41208
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Dec 2004, 1227UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 08 Dec 2004 until 10 Dec 2004)
SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Dec 2004 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Dec 2004 10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Dec 2004 10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The Space Weather is currently very quiet with Kp<=3 and no
significant flaring activity. The only peak exceeding the B2 GOES X-ray level in
the last two days was a C1 flare from the newly emerging active region near the
East limb. More C-class flaring from this active region is possible.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 7 Dec 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 090
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 026
AK WINGST : ///
ESTIMATED AP : 017
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
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