[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Jan 29 1433 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50129
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 29 Jan 2005, 1250UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 29 Jan 2005 until 31 Jan 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 020
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 027
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 081 / AP: 018

COMMENT: The solar activity is very low, with only a few B flares. The
same quiet conditions should continue for the coming days, as no sunspot
group on the sun is capable of producing significant flares. Since
yesterday, the solar wind speed and the interplanetary magnetic field
strength have both increased, indicating that the Earth is now
experiencing the influence of a geoeffective coronal hole. The N-S Bz
component fluctuates down to -8nT, which already produced active
geomagnetic conditions over the last 12 hours. We expect unsettled to
active conditions, and at times minor storm conditions, for the next 2
or 3 days.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 28 Jan 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 085
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 008

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE

73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Propagation eReflector: 
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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