To: | "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>,"a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com> |
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Subject: | [Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report |
From: | "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com> |
Date: | Mon, 24 Jan 2005 15:09:21 -0500 |
List-post: | <mailto:propagation@contesting.com> |
:Issued: 2005 Jan 24 1248 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50124 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 24 Jan 2005, 1234UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 24 Jan 2005 until 26 Jan 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 011 PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 008 COMMENT: The solar and geomagnetic activities are finally returning to low levels. Only an occasional C flare may be produced by one of the small active regions now on the Sun. The X-ray background has now dropped below the B1 level. The solar wind speed remains elevated, but it decreases steadily, and is now approaching 550km/s. As Bz remains small around 0, the geomagnetic field is expected to remain mostly quiet to unsettled over the coming 3-day period, though brief active conditions may occur at high latitudes in the next 24h. After a long decay phase, the proton flux in all energy bands is now returning to normal background levels. SOLAR INDICES FOR 23 Jan 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 096 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 020 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE 73 & GUD DX, Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster Plant City, FL, USA Grid Square EL87WX Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W kn4lf@arrl.net Propagation eReflector: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm
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