[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Jan 23 1232 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50123
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 23 Jan 2005, 1220UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 23 Jan 2005 until 25 Jan 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 098 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 017

COMMENT: Solar wind speed is still at the elevated level of 650 km/s.
The fact that the solar wind speed is not decreasing any more (after the
shock arrival) can be possibly caused by the northern hemispheric coronal
hole. Last night (Jan 22 - Jan 23) we had some active geomagnetic
periods. Up till tomorrow, periods of active conditions can still occur.
Sunspot group 05 (NOAA 720) still produced an M-flare peaking at 01:51
UT, Jan 23. Other active regions now visible on the solar disk are
behaving quiet.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 22 Jan 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 044
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 102
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 027

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
23  0128  0151 0201        M1.0                                     05 0720

73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Propagation eReflector: 
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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