[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Jan 11 1241 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50111
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 11 Jan 2005, 1219UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 11 Jan 2005 until 13 Jan 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 094 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 008

COMMENT: Recent flaring activity was confined to a C1.0 flare and a few 
B-flares
from mainly Catania sunspot group 04 (NOAA 0719). This region is growing and
seems likely to produce more C-class flares or even an M-flare. Also the new
sunspot group in the northeast, Catania 05 (NOAA 0720) has a good chance for
C-flares.

The geomagnetic conditions are influenced by a small coronal hole in the
southern solar hemisphere. The north-south component of the IMF is very
variable with short intervals of mild southwards orientation. We therefore
expect quiet to active conditions.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 10 Jan 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 040
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 090
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 007

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE

73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

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KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
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KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
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KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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