[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Jan 10 1219 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50110
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 10 Jan 2005, 1154UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 10 Jan 2005 until 12 Jan 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 012

COMMENT: Catania sunspot groups 03 and 04 (NOAA 0718 and 0719) are still the
only sunspots visible on the solar disk. Both groups have remained quiet 
over
the past 24 hours, only producing small B-flares. Still, the groups are 
capable
of larger flares and we see a significant chance for C-flares in the 
following
24 hours. Another active region is visible at the east limb in EIT images, 
and
will soon rotate on the disk. This region was probably the source of a CME 
on
Jan 07, so it seems active.

Geomagnetic conditions were very quiet due to a strong northwards 
orientation
of the IMF. We expect mostly quiet conditions, although some geomagnetic
perturbations may be caused by a small coronal hole in the southern solar
hemisphere (which was near the central meridian on Jan 07).

SOLAR INDICES FOR 9 Jan 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 030
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 088
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 006

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE

73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Propagation eReflector: 
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KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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