To: | "a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com>,"a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com> |
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Subject: | [Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report |
From: | "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com> |
Date: | Sat, 8 Jan 2005 10:25:03 -0500 |
List-post: | <mailto:propagation@contesting.com> |
:Issued: 2005 Jan 08 1218 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50108 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Jan 2005, 1155UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 08 Jan 2005 until 10 Jan 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 038 PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 027 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 008 COMMENT: NOAA AR 0718, Catania sunspot group 3, may produce a C-flare. The geomagnetic storm that occurred yesterday due to the passage of an ICME is now finished as the interplanetary magnetic field turned northwards. We still expect the arrival of a halo CME observed by SOHO/LASCO on January 5; it will probably arrive later today or tomorrow producing a moderate geomagnetic disturbance. SOLAR INDICES FOR 7 Jan 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : 012 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 084 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 048 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE 73, Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster Plant City, FL, USA Grid Square EL87WX Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W kn4lf@arrl.net Propagation eReflector: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm
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