[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2004 Dec 31 1239 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 41231
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 31 Dec 2004, 1229UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 31 Dec 2004 until 02 Jan 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 015

COMMENT: Sunspot group 98 (NOAA 0715) stays very active: it produced 3 
M-flares
up till now, all of them accompanied by a CME. In three days, it will be at 
the
central meridian. At this position, CMEs have a larger probability to be
geoeffective. We are experiencing quiet geomagnetic conditions at the 
moment.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 30 Dec 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 100
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 026
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 018

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
30  1034  1047 1057 N03E53 M2.2 SF   230 III/1,II/1                 98 0715 
associated CME (EIT wave)
30  2202  2218 2228 N03E48 M4.2 2N   230 II/1                       98 0715
73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

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KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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