[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2004 Dec 24 1229 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 41224
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 24 Dec 2004, 1218UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 24 Dec 2004 until 26 Dec 2004)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 098 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 099 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 101 / AP: 005

COMMENT: NOAA AR 0713, Catania sunspot group 90, is now situated close to 
the
central meridian. It has produced several C-flares recently, including C5.1
flare yesterday, so there is a possibility of an Earth-directed CME. A
low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere is now situated close 
to
the central meridian. Disturbed geomagnetic conditions are possible in 2 - 3
days. The north - south component of the interplanetary magnetic field Bz is 
now
close to zero, so we expect the geomagnetic situation to stay quiet in the
coming hours.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 23 Dec 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 038
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 096
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 013
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 009

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE

73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

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