[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Jan 09 1735 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50109
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 09 Jan 2005, 1715UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 09 Jan 2005 until 11 Jan 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Jan 2005  10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 007
COMMENT: A second sunspot group has appeared at the east limb: Catania 
sunspot
group 04 (NOAA 0719) follows closely behind Catania 03 (NOAA 0718). It
immediately took over the role of the dominant sunspot group and already
generated an M2.4 flare. Both sunspot groups are likely to generate 
C-flares,
with a small chance for an M-flare.

Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet for the past 24 hours. The solar wind
speed is still slightly elevated, but since the IMF is strongly northwards,
quiet conditions are expected to continue.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 8 Jan 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 012
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 089
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 024

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
09  0825  0851 0909 S09E69 M2.4 1N    77 II/1                       04 0719

73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Propagation eReflector: 
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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